All Your Climate Questions Answered in 60 SECONDS!!! - Questions For Corbett #084
Published: February 28, 2022
Daniel writes in to ask a climate question: how can James possibly think that "climate change is a hoax"? James responds in the most succinct way possible. Buckle up, folks!
https://www.corbettreport.com/climatequestions/
Statistical Method Used to Link Climate Change to Greenhouse Gases Challenged
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An important new study in “Climate Dynamics” has criticized a key methodology that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) uses to attribute climate change to greenhouse gases, raising questions about the validity of research that relied on it and prompting a response from one of the scientists who developed the technique.
The new study’s author, economist Ross McKitrick, told reporters in an interview that he thinks his results have weakened the IPCC’s case that greenhouse gases cause climate change.
The methodology, known as “optimal fingerprinting,” has been used to link greenhouse gases to everything from temperature to forest fires, precipitation, and snow cover.
McKitrick compared optimal fingerprinting to the way law enforcement officers use fingerprinting to identify criminals.
“[They] take this big smudge of data and say, ‘Yeah, the fingerprints of greenhouse gas are on it,’” he said.
McKitrick said the optimal fingerprinting research he criticized, 1999’s paper in Climate Dynamics “Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting,” is a “cornerstone of the field of attribution”—the branch of climate science focused on identifying the causes of climate change.
But according to McKitrick, the authors of that paper, Myles Allen and Simon Tett, made errors in the steps needed to validate their strategy.
“When you do a statistical analysis, it’s not enough just to crunch some numbers and publish the result and say, ‘This is what the data tell us.’ You then have to apply some tests to your modeling technique to see if it’s valid for the kind of data you’re using,” he said.
“They claimed that their model passes all the relevant tests—but there are a couple of problems with that claim,” he continued. “The first is they stated the conditions wrong—they left most of the relevant conditions out that you’re supposed to test—and then they proposed a methodology for testing that is completely uninformative. It’s not actually connected to any standard testing method.”
Their framework, McKitrick said, also assumes that a major chunk of climate change has to be attributable to greenhouse gases—so using it to prove that greenhouse gases lead to climate change is meaningless.
“You’re dependent on climate model data to construct the test—and the climate model already embeds the assumptions about the role of greenhouse gases,” said McKitrick. “You can’t relax that assumption.”
McKitrick, who explained his results in more technical detail at JudithCurry.com, said the IPCC’s attribution of climate change to greenhouse gases is largely based on the 1999 paper or closely related research with the same problems.
Myles Allen, one of the two coauthors of the 1999 paper that McKitrick has challenged, responded to McKitrick’s paper in an email to The Epoch Times.
“Fully addressing the issues raised by this paper might have made some difference to conclusions regarding human influence on climate when the signal was still quite weak 20 years ago,” said Allen.
According to Allen, however, the signal is now much stronger whether one uses his 1999 technique or the simpler method employed at globalwarmingindex.org. He also said that newer methods, including one in his own 2003 paper, have superseded the method from 1999.
“To be a little light-hearted, it feels a bit like someone suggesting we should all stop driving because a new issue has been identified with the Model-T Ford,” Allen said.
“Even if it were true that [Allen’s method] is no longer used and people have moved on to other methods, [given] its historical prominence it would still be necessary as a scientific matter for Simon and Myles either to concede their paper contains errors or rebut the specific criticisms,” said McKitrick in an emailed response to Allen’s argument.
“And the reality is the climate profession hasn’t moved on,” McKitrick said. “The IPCC still discusses the Optimal Fingerprinting method in the AR6 and relies on many papers that use it.”
While Allen argued that his later 2003 paper superseded his 1999 paper, McKitrick responded that the 2003 paper, along with other more recent methods that Allen identified, “has all the same problems” as the 1999 paper.
McKitrick also argued that the method at globalwarmingindex.org may have the same issues as Allen’s 1999 paper, in large part because both studies cite a 1997 study from Klaus Hasselman that, in McKitrick’s words, “[proposed] the same [method].”
“Thus by Myles’ [Allen’s] own examples AT99 is still central to the attribution literature,” said McKitrick.
Allen argued that McKitrick’s criticism of his use of a climate model is misguided, as his 1999 method may actually be “overly conservative” in attributing climate change to human influence.
According to Allen, standard climate models may yield results in which the amount of statistical “noise,” and thus uncertainty, is overstated.
This rebuttal, said McKitrick, “does not address the core problem I point out,” which has to do with testing for errors in their fingerprinting calculations.
Allen and McKitrick also sparred over a specific statistical test in the 1999 paper, with Allen saying McKitrick had greatly overstated its importance and McKitrick countering that it is the only such test researchers have used in this context.
Attribution researcher Aurélien Ribes, whose papers were among those Allen claimed had superseded the 1999 research, declined to comment on the paper in detail in an email to The Epoch Times, though he said he had looked at an earlier version of it.
“I do not expect a very large impact in terms of attribution results,” said Ribes, a climate change researcher at France’s National Centre for Meteorological Research.
He said that some of his own research was not dependent on fingerprinting. He also claimed that certain attribution findings, such as on global mean temperature, are “very robust.”
But another expert, Richard Tol, believes much of McKitrick’s criticism is on the mark.
“McKitrick is right,” said Tol, a professor of economics at the University of Sussex and a professor of the economics of climate change at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, in an email to The Epoch Times.
Tol explained that Allen and Tett’s attempt to address a widespread statistical issue had “made things worse, not better.”
“To top it all off, many people have since used the method proposed by Allen & Tett,” he added.
“The implications are unclear,” Tol continued. “Many of the papers that use the fingerprinting method to detect the impact of climate change are simply wrong,”
“That does not mean that climate change is not real or that its effects cannot be attributed to greenhouse gas emissions. It means that many of the papers that made such claims will have to be redone.”
Goodbye Global Warming - Maxwell Chikumbutso New Green Energy - Saith Power - Greener Power Machine
Dr. Len Saputo, David Rasnick PhD, Dr. Judy Mikovits AND The Fictional Hiv-Aids Virus
When Dr. Mikovits made the bold claim that COVID-19 was manipulated in a lab, she was smeared as “crazy”. Just like Covid-19 - HIV AIDS is also a mythical virus. Dr. Len Saputo and David Rasnick PhD explain the political and financial aspects of AIDS. Begin at 21:19 minutes.
Copyright Disclaimer under section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for “fair use” for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, education and research. Venus Project Foundation is an arts, sciences and educational, non-profit 501(c)(3), national organization, based in New York City, United States.
* Plandemic Truth Be Told - “Germ Theory” - Virology Or Toxicology.?
Plandemic Indoctrination Documentary - By Mikki Willis
Published: July 21, 2021
The Plandemic Indoctrination Documentary is one hour and sixteen minutes, featuring white collar crime investigator Dr. David Martin exposing the patents and paper trail proving that Dr. Anthony Fauci covertly has been funding dangerous gain of function research of Covid-19 since 2004. Veteran virologist Dr. Judy Mikovits reveals the nefarious role many doctors played to impose and prolong the current Plandemic for money. This film has been seen by over one billion people worldwide, before it was censored and removed from all media platforms.
Through various independent investigations and accredited studies, every major claim made within the Plandemic Indoctrination Documentary has been validated as accurate. The tide is turning. Truth is emerging. Plandemic is now being acknowledged for being among the first to warn the world of the agenda to reduce the liberties of citizens through medical tyranny. - https://plandemicseries.com/
Copyright Disclaimer under section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for “fair use” for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, education and research. Venus Project Foundation is an arts, sciences and educational, non-profit 501(c)(3), national organization, based in New York City, United States.
Activist Lawyer Dr. Francis Boyle Calls For Anthony Fauci’s Arrest
Published: August 24, 2021
On August 21, 2021 - distinguished activist lawyer, Dr. Francis Boyle in an interview with Alex Jones, sounds an urgent call to U.S. citizens to stop vaccinating yourselves and your loved ones, learn the truth and how to defend and protect yourselves against the fake pandemic and killer vaccines, orchestrated by the Biden administration and its criminal cronies.
If you and or your loved ones have been seriously injured, or lost loved ones due to lockdowns, or deadly Covid-911 injections, gather all evidences, Medical records, Death Certificate, Medical Examiner and or Coroner’s office report, Autopsy report, plus any and all other related records you can find and go to your local state and or county prosecutor’s office, inform them about your loss, as one of the victims of conspiracy to commit mass murder by the evil eugenists for population reduction and gigantic multi billion dollar profits, coming out of your tax money. Remind the prosecutor that Covid-911 injection is used in the prosecutor’s office jurisdiction. You should demand your local prosecutor who works for you to form a grand jury to indict those involved in the murder.
Fascist nation-less pharmaceutical corporations were given legal immunity from civil lawsuits in 1986 by U.S. Congress, which passed the legislation and Ronald Regan signed it. And nothing happened, people took it, no questions asked. What kind of evil bastards representatives would legalize genocide of their own people.? However, the fascist staff and management of said corporations can be charged, indicted and convicted for criminal conspiracy. Johns Hopkins University spreading lies, falsifying Covid murder rate and the treasonous nation-less press and the media in the United States are also criminally liable for colluding and deliberately spreading fascist propaganda to fool the public to accept the lockdowns, and follow CDC, FDA, NIH, NIAID, criminal governors and mayors deadly guidelines. Every single one of these evil murderers can be and should be charged, indicted and convicted for crime against humanity, criminal conspiracy, racketeering, collusion to commit murder, and conspiracy to commit genocide for profit.
Copyright Disclaimer under section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for “fair use” for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, education and research. Venus Project Foundation is an arts, sciences and educational, non-profit 501(c)(3), national organization, based in New York City, United States.
Bombshell Report - There is no variant... not novel... no pandemic. Dr. David Martin with Dr. Reiner Fuellmich
Published: July 11, 2021
Patents on Corona Virus and Criminal Intent.! There is no variant ... not novel... no pandemic.. no variants... campaign of coercion & terror to address a stated objective. Dr David Martin, SG!! Who can tell us what the Vaxxed can do about this synthetic recombinant chimera protein? "There was no novel Coronavirus. Check of gene sequence vs all patent records showed not novel since 1999! There are 120 patented pieces of evidence showing total fallacy of claim 'novel'!
The Covid-9/11 Crime Against Humanity, Fraud and Mass Murder is Over.! A manufactured illusion, explains Dr. David Martin with Dr. Reiner Fuellmich
https://www.covidtruths.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/The-FauciCOVID-19-Dossier2532.pdf
David E. Martin, PhD
Dr. David Martin founded M·CAM® in 1998 and has served as its CEO and Chairman since that time. M·CAM® has been an international intangible asset underwriter and analyst firm spanning work in innovation finance, trade, and intangible asset finance.
Dr. Martin is the developer of several innovation-based quantitative indices of public equities and is the Founder of the Purple Bridge Funds. He managed the Innovation Alpha ETFs (NYSE:INAU; NYSE:INAG; and NYSE:TWAR). He is the creator of the public equity index – the CNBC IQ100 powered by M·CAM® which now is reported as a leading economic indicator for the U.S. and Global Innovation Economy published by The Conference Board.
As a spokesperson for global financial and intangible asset accountability and quality reform, Dr. Martin has worked closely with the United States Congress and numerous trade and financial regulatory agencies in the United States, Europe, and Asia in advocating and deploying infrastructure to support growing reliance on contract and proprietary rights in business transactions. Under the leadership of Dr. Martin, M·CAM® has supported the modernization of banking, intangible asset, tax, and accounting laws through its work with oversight agencies and policy makers. This work included work with the United States Congress, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the United States Departments of the Treasury and Commerce, the European Union and many other countries. Dr. Martin received his undergraduate (BA) from Goshen College, his Masters of Science from Ball State University, and his Doctorate (PhD) from the University of Virginia.
Dr. Martin is a Batten Fellow at the University of Virginia's Darden Graduate School of Business Administration.
https://www.m-cam.com/about-us/
Episode 375 – The New And Improved Corona Virus World Order
Published: April 10, 2020
Some are suggesting that the current crisis is the end of globalization, or that it will wipe out the New World Order altogether . . . but they are wrong. In fact, this crisis is the globalists’ dream, and what we are witnessing is the birth of a totalitarian control grid the likes of which could scarcely have been imagined before this pandemic panic kicked off. Welcome to the Corona World Order.
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